NATIONAL POPULATION PROJECTION 2007-2022

Year published: 07/07/2009

Population Projections are usually carried out immediately after the release of census

results so as to provide annual estimates of future population counts broken down by age

and sex. Nonetheless, Projections are to be updated whenever new evidences concerning

factors of population growth emerge, especially when such evidences are different from

the assumptions on which the projection was based. In this context, the 2007/2008

Rwanda Interim Demographic and Health Survey (RIDHS) has shown different fertility

and mortality levels than those incorporated in the latest (2004) set of Population

Projections which was carried out after the release of the 2002 Census results. This is in

fact what has prompted updating the population projections of Rwanda.

On the basis of the resulting population projections, sectoral projections will be carried

out for dual reasons: first, to assess the impact of different scenarios of population growth

on Health, Education, Economic, Urbanization, and Agricultural sectors, second to

provide forecasts on several planning elements that may help concerned organizations.

This will be published in separate bulletin.

Needless to say that population and sectoral projections are instrumental for the purposes

of national and sectoral planning processes, which can go astray if not founded on

reliable population estimates.